Outputs

The PREDICTS database

The PREDICTS database - which will form the basis of all our analyses - now has over 3.6 million biodiversity records from over 32,000 sites, covering more than 50,000 species.

If you would like your data to play a part, please visit our contribution page or more information.

Locations from which PREDICTS currently has diversity measurements are shown below. We will update this image regularly as the project progresses. records from over 29,000 sites, covering more than 50,000 species.

Map of PREDICTS data sites

Biomes in the above map are defined by The Nature Conservancy's terrestrial ecoregions of the world dataset. Circle radii are proportional to log10 of the number of samples at that location. Circles have the same degree of partial transparency.

We've also tried to make our data taxonomically representative, rather than focus on the best-known clades. The graph below shows (on log-log axes) how the numbers of a taxon's species that are in the database relate to the numbers that are known to science. For many of these taxa, we're above 1% representation (solid line),

[Taxonomic representativeness of predicts data]

Papers

The database of the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) Project
LN Hudson, T Newbold, S Contu, SLL Hill, I Lysenko, A De Palma et al.
Ecology and Evolution 2017.
Joint first authors.
[open]
Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment
T Newbold, LN Hudson, AP Arnell, S Contu, A De Palma, S Ferrier et al.
Science 2016.
[open]
Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide
CL Gray, SLL Hill, T Newbold, LN Hudson, L Börger, S Contu et al.
Nature Communications 2016.
[open]
Global patterns of terrestrial assemblage turnover within and among land uses
T Newbold, LN Hudson, SLL Hill, S Contu, CL Gray, JPW Scharlemann et al.
Ecography 2016.
Editor's choice.
[open]
Predicting bee community responses to land-use changes: Effects of geographic and taxonomic biases
A De Palma, S Abrahamczyk, MA Aizen, M Albrecht, Y Basset, A Bates et al.
Scientific Reports 2016.
[open]
Modelling and projecting the response of Colombian biodiversity to land-use change
S Echeverría-Londoño, T Newbold, LN Hudson, S Contu, S Hill, I Lysenko et al.
Diversity and Distributions 2016.
[open]
Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity
T Newbold, LN Hudson, SLL Hill, S Contu, I Lysenko, RA Senior et al.
Nature 2015.
Joint first authors.
[open]
Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes
A De Palma, M Kuhlmann, SPM Roberts, SG Potts, L Börger, LN Hudson et al.
Journal of Applied Ecology 2015.
[open]
The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity responds to human impacts
LN Hudson, T Newbold, S Contu, SLL Hill, I Lysenko, A De Palma et al.
Ecology and Evolution 2014.
Joint first authors.
[open]
A global model of the response of tropical and sub-tropical forest biodiversity to anthropogenic pressures
T Newbold, LN Hudson, HRP Phillips, SLL Hill, S Contu, I Lysenko et al.
Proceedings of the Royal Society B - Biological Sciences 2014.
[open]
MODISTools – downloading and processing MODIS remotely sensed data in R
SL Tuck, HRP Phillips, RE Hintzen, JPW Scharlemann, A Purvis, LN Hudson.
Ecology and Evolution 2014.
[open]
Ecological traits affect the response of tropical forest bird species to land-use intensity
T Newbold, JPW Scharlemann, SHM Butchart, ÇH Şekercioğlu, R Alkemade, H Booth et al.
Proceedings of the Royal Society B - Biological Sciences 2014.
[open]
PREDICTS: Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity in Changing Terrestrial Systems
T Newbold, LN Hudson, DW Purves, JPW Scharlemann, G Mace, A Purvis.
Frontiers of Biogeography 2012.
[open]

Posters and presentations

Biodiversity: past & future trends and strategies to halt its loss
JPW Scharlemann. 2014.
University of Southampton, Centre for Biological Sciences 2014-11-18.
The global response of terrestrial protected area biodiversity to human impacts
A Purvis. 2014.
World Parks Congress, Sydney. 2014-11-19.
Ecological traits affect the response of bees to human impacts in European agricultural landscapes
A De Palma, M Kuhlmann, SPM Roberts, S G. Potts, L Börger, L Hudson et al. 2014.
Academic poster presented at the European Congress of Entomology 2014. This poster describes results from a scientific paper in Journal of Applied Ecology 10.1111/1365-2664.12524.
[open]
Predicting bee community responses to land use changes: effects of geographic and taxonomic biases
A De Palma, The PREDICTS consortium, A Purvis. 2014.
Presentation for the 2014 Joint Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society and Société française d'écologie. The presentation describes work published in the following article: De Palma, A. et al. Predicting bee community responses to land-use changes: Effects of geographic and taxonomic biases. Scientific Reports, 6, 31153. 10.1038/srep31153.
[open]
The effect of land-use change on biodiversity: a comparison across four continents
HRP Phillips. 2014.
Presentation for the 2014 Joint Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society and Société française d'écologie.
A global model of the response to land use of local alpha diversity, beta diversity and endemicity; and future projections under socio-economic scenarios
T Newbold. 2014.
Presentation for the 2014 Joint Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society and Société française d'écologie.
Do protected areas mitigate human pressures? A global analysis of local biodiversity within protected areas
SLL Hill. 2014.
Presentation for the 2014 Joint Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society and Société française d'écologie.
Responses of soil biotas to human impacts: from local to global
VJ Burton. 2014.
Presentation for the 2014 Joint Annual Meeting of the British Ecological Society and Société française d'écologie.
PREDICTS
A Purvis. 2014.
Departmental seminar Imperial College London 2014-07-16.
[open]
Do ecological traits predict bee species' responses to human impacts?
A De Palma, TI Husseini, S Tuck, SPM Roberts, SG Potts, A Purvis.
Presentation for the 2013 Annual Meeting of the Royal Entomological Society (ENTO2013). Work described in this presentation contributed to the following manuscript: De Palma et al (2015) Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes, Journal of Applied Ecology, 52, 1567-1577. 10.1111/1365-2664.12524.
[open]
Response of tropical forest biodiversity to human impacts: a comparison of three continents
HRP Phillips, LN Hudson, I Lysenko, T Newbold, S Tuck, A Purvis.
Poster presented at the Tropical biodiversity in the 21st century symposium, linking taxonomy, genomics and ecological theory, held at the Natural History Museum, London, 2013-06-03.
MODISTools: an R package for automated download and preparation of LP DAAC MODIS remotely-sensed data
S Tuck, HRP Phillips, A Purvis, LN Hudson.
Poster presented at the Tropical biodiversity in the 21st century symposium, linking taxonomy, genomics and ecological theory, held at the Natural History Museum, London, 2013-06-03.
Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems
SLL Hill, T Newbold, LN Hudson, JPW Scharlemann, R Ewers, D Purves et al. 2013.
Poster presented at the BES-YESI Global Change & Biosphere Interactions conference on April 2013.
Modelling the responses of pollinators to anthropogenic threats in agricultural landscapes
A De Palma, S Tuck, TI Husseini, A Purvis. 2012.
Poster presented at the 2012 British Ecological Society Annual Meeting.
[open]
Responses of biodiversity to land-use change: Is the biota of Asia more sensitive than other continents?
HRP Phillips, I Lysenko, T Newbold, S Tuck, A Purvis. 2012.
Poster presented at the 2012 British Ecological Society Annual Meeting.
Towards a global model of local biodiversity responses to human impacts
A Purvis, L Hudson, T Newbold, S Contu, S Hill, I Lysenko et al. 2012.
BES presentation, December 2012.

Datasets

The 2016 release of the PREDICTS database
LN Hudson, T Newbold, S Contu, SLL Hill, I Lysenko, A De Palma et al.
NHM data portal 2016.
[open]
Site-level data used in Gray, Hill et al. (2016) Local biodiversity is higher inside than outside terrestrial protected areas worldwide. Nature Communications 7. 10.1038/ncomms12306.
CL Gray, SLL Hill, T Newbold, LN Hudson, L Börger, S Contu et al.
NHM data portal 2016.
[open]
Site-level data and Jaccard similarities from Newbold et al. (2016) “Has land use pushed terrestrial biodiversity beyond the planetary boundary? A global assessment”, Science 353, 281-291. 10.1126/science.aaf2201.
T Newbold, LN Hudson, AP Arnell, S Contu, A De Palma, S Ferrier et al.
NHM data portal 2016.
[open]
PREDICTS: site-level summary biodiversity and pressure data
LN Hudson, T Newbold, S Contu, SLL Hill, I Lysenko, A De Palma et al.
NHM data portal 2014.
[open]