The first fully global analysis of the PREDICTS database is published today in Nature. In brief:

  • Human-driven land use has caused an estimated fall of 13.6% worldwide in average local species-richness
  • Most of these losses occurred in the last century
  • Future reductions are not inevitable: scenario analysis suggests that the last 50 years of losses could be reversed by 2100, if strong carbon markets are used to mitigate against climate change
  • Our analysis included over 1.1 million records for nearly 27,000 species at over 11,500 sites

A special issue of our newsletter gives more detail. A Q&A page answers some questions about the paper. There's a feature about the paper on the NHM website along with a news story and a press release.